So if Hillary wins in 2016, how badly will the Dems do in 2018? Given that Obama has decimated the Dem party at every level of govt except the WH, there isnt much more to lose.
But I could see the Dems losing all the 15-20 House seats they might win 2016, 3-4 Senate seats (I assume the Dems will win 3-7 seats in 2016) and a few more Governor's mansions (MN, VT, NH, CO) . The GOP will likely win MO, WV, KY and possibly VA while the Dems will likely win NJ in the next cycle. 35 GOP govs isnt out of the question.
Far from being close to permanent majority status, the Dem party under Obama/Clinton is like the GOP under Ford. They have the WH and nothing else.
Democrats would probably lose more than 3-4 Senate seats, just because of the number they're defending (25, including Angus King and Bernie Sanders.)
These include the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Virginia, as well as conservative states like Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia.
Even if Republicans win the presidency, they'll probably gain in the Senate, just because winning 11 out of 33 races will net them three seats.
Tom Corbett did show that an unpopular Governor in a wave year for his party, so Governors in liberal states are vulnerable if they screw up.
Open gubernatorial elections will include Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio, and Wisconsin, so those may be competitive.
