The likeliest match-up is Clinton/ Castro VS Paul/ Walker
What makes Paul more likely to win the nomination than any other Republican? And for VPs, we're all pretty much shooting in the dark anyway. We really have no idea what factors the specific person will be looking for. And someone who looks good on paper could still fail the vetting process or decline the offer.
I don't think Paul's more likely to win than any other Republican. Jeb and Christie are probably likelier to win, but I think Walker's a more obvious fit for Paul than any specific individual is for Jeb or Christie.