Could the GOP Primary end in a brokered convention?

[Mister Mets]

It's not likely, but it's possible.

The odds for it may be better than in previous elections. We have the right ingredients for it, as multiple factions have different candidates. Libertarians have Rand Paul. Fiscally moderate social conservatives might have Huckabee. The establishment/ business wing may have their guy (be it Jeb Bush, Mitt Romney, Chris Christie, John Kasich or whoever.) The "Republicans should be more conservative" crowd has Huckabee.

With candidates who have the potential to get a chunk of the vote in late primaries, it's possible that any Republican would be prevented from getting 50 percent of the delegates.

[Mister Mets]

I concur with the previous posters. Especially with all the winner-takes-all states, you'll need a credible geographically polarized race between at least three near-equals for a non-negligible chance at a deadlock.

There could be other circumstances, including a race between two near-equals with a spoiler.

So imagine Hillary VS Obama with a third candidate getting 15 percent.

[Mister Mets]

Sean Trende thinks it's a distinct possibility.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/01/29/what_if_no_one_wins_the_gop_presidential_nomination_125426.html

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Allahpundit of Hotair gloats about it, and considers the implications.

http://hotair.com/archives/2015/01/29/lets-face-it-were-headed-for-a-brokered-gop-convention/

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