Would Bill Daley have won Illinois?

[Mister Mets]

I could imagine him doing a little bit better, but there are some unknowns. It was a cycle in which Republicans won open races in Massachusetts and Maryland, and came close in Vermont and Rhode Island.

Another thing to keep in mind is that this was Daley's last realistic shot at being Governor. I can't find polling data to suggest he was the underdog in the primary, so I'm wondering why he chose to drop out. It seems likely his reasons for leaving the race would have meant he was unable to win a General Election campaign.