Mister Mets
YaBB God
Posts: 4,440
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« on: February 05, 2014, 10:55:41 PM » |
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Pennsylvania's getting closer. It's gone from five points more left-leaning than the rest of the country in 2004 to 1.49 points in 2012. The margin was over five, but the same was true of Virginia in 2004, and by 2008, it became the state that matched the popular vote most closely.
Florida's still more conservative than the rest of the nation. A Republican who loses by three points of the popular vote will probably get Florida.
Nevada and Wisconsin went for Obama pretty big in 2008, and the numbers went down more than nationally in 2012 suggesting these could be in play in a competitive election. Or maybe the Romney/ Ryan ticket was just stronger there than it would be elsewhere.
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