The top 5 candidates in the Democratic and Republican primaries?

[Mister Mets]

Democratic side...
Clinton- Overwhelming favorite if she wants the nomination.
Biden- Weak frontrunner if Clinton doesn't run.
Cuomo- The frontrunner if Clinton and Biden don't run.
Villariagosa- Appeals to voters who want a Hispanic President, Unions and urban organizations.
Schweitzer- Seems likelier to run than Warner.

Republican side...
Rubio- Seems to be positioning himself for a run. Will likely have Jeb Bush's network. Conservatives love him already.
Paul Ryan- National figure after Veep campaign.
Rand Paul- Probably has a floor of ten percent because of his dad's fans. Has a better shot at actually getting votes.
Christie- Most prominent Republican Governor. Acceptable to conservatives with an appeal to McCain voters. Could lose to Booker in '13. Might be suited challenging incumbents than in an open presidential election.
Jeb Bush- Rubio's likelier to run, but Jeb would be a top-tier candidate in the other scenario.


Jindal and Santorum seem likely to run, but neither has a great shot at the nomination. Jindal is the third most impressive socially conservative Catholic policy wonk born in the early 1970s. Santorum's fans are likely to go elsewhere now that there will be more plausible social conservative options.