House of Commons passes resolution calling for the resgination of the Liberals (user search)
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  House of Commons passes resolution calling for the resgination of the Liberals (search mode)
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Author Topic: House of Commons passes resolution calling for the resgination of the Liberals  (Read 3090 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« on: May 11, 2005, 01:53:19 AM »

Want election now!
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2005, 02:52:23 AM »

Seeing as we got a Labour majority of about the size I wanted (and concentrated in the North as well!) I'm hoping that about as many NDP M.P's will get elected as I'd like... 40 odd. Doubt it'll happen though.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2005, 04:04:13 AM »

This could be an importent re-aligning election though; if the Liberals collapse during the campaign (entirely possible) support could flow to the NDP if he can gag certain members of his party.

Weird things happen. Actually the weird thing with Canada is the the socialist party of record has never formed the government, while the liberal party of record never collapsed and is still in government.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: May 11, 2005, 01:28:13 PM »

Keep dreaming- the NDP doesn't have the leadership to capitalise off  this. No offence to Jack Layton.  They will pick up some seats- that is for sure but they will also lose at least one (Ottawa Centre).  However, if we get another minority out of this, the NDP will likely get to play an even bigger role in the next election.

All true. But hey I can dream Wink

Seriously though, I think the NDP can come out of this with a much larger caucus (it doesn't take many votes to shift to increase it by a lot IIRC) if they hand out a couple of gags and play the squeaky clean card. The difficultly is what happens after that... they could do with some bigger hitters in the federal party though.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2005, 02:02:59 PM »

It's a bit like the '74 elections in a way, although the crisis is corruption rather than economic collapse and the Three Day Week...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #5 on: May 12, 2005, 03:08:20 AM »

They're likely to rebound in Sask *anyway*... unless the provincial Government raises taxes to cover a budget hole immediately before an election again...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #6 on: May 12, 2005, 03:44:25 AM »

Depends on who the candidates are.

True. Please no staffers this time round!

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Two is better than none Wink
I think the NDP should be able to regain Palliser (sorry: gain. It was notionally Tory going into 2004) at least.

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It's a pain isn't it? I've never seen anywhere else where they split a city into four bits and pair them with huge rural tracts for no real reason... and to do it to *two* cities...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #7 on: May 12, 2005, 04:36:01 AM »

Not a lot you can do to stop the Liberals ruling for entirnity, barring a complete collapse.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2005, 03:36:46 PM »

NDP are going to struggle expanding much in Toronto IMO.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2005, 02:50:26 PM »

Chow *may* win if she runs again, and I hear an NDP MPP will be running in Beaches-East York, so she could win as well. Although I wouldn't bet on it. Layton will win his seat in a landslide, Dennis Mills is not running again.

It's a former MPP in Beaches-East York, but yep the NDP have a very good chance at picking that one up. No Mills means Layton wins big... as for Chow, I suspect she might squeak it this time round.

But the NDP's best chances for gains in Ontario are outside Toronto IMO.
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