Australian Election Prediction Contest

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So, yeah. Predict the following...

National 2PP vote

Seats per Party, nationally.

2PP vote per State and Territory

New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
ACT
Northern Territory

Predict the winning Party in the following seats:

Tasmania
Bass
Braddon

Northern Territory
Solomon

South Australia
Boothby
Sturt

Western Australia
Canning
Cowan
Hasluck
Stirling
Swan

Victoria
Corangamite
Deakin
LaTrobe
McEwen
Melbourne

Queensland
Brisbane
Dawson
Dickson
Fisher
Flynn
Forde
Herbert
Hinkler
Leichardt
Longman
Ryan
Wright

New South Wales
Bennelong
Cowper
Dobell
Eden-Monaro
Gilmore
Greenway
Hughes
Lindsay
Macarthur
Macquarie
Page
Paterson
Riverina
Robertson

Australian Capital Territory
Second Senator

---Bonus Points---

Only count in event of a tie. You don't have to do these

Safest Seat
Closest Seat
Highest Swing
Random Upset (division must have a 2PP lead of over 15pts in 2007. You may predict 'none')

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Fwiw, the 2007 Labor majority in Melbourne over the Greens was 4.7 in Australian terms (9.4 elsewhere).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Does the 4% figures for the Nats include the Queensland seats were the LNP candidates were conservatives of the tractor variety?