Bush vs. Edwards (user search)
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Author Topic: Bush vs. Edwards  (Read 9072 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,890
United Kingdom


« on: November 03, 2004, 09:11:16 AM »

On reflection Gephardt or Clark would probably have beaten Bush by a solid margin.
Edwards would probably have (just) edged it.

But to be fair to Kerry he didn't actually do *badly*... it's still only a narrow win for Bush.
Certainly a credible preformance... and had his advisors and analysts not been so ing stupid and quit fight 2000 all over again, I think he could have won it.

Oh well...

The House results (ignore Texas) are reason to smile though... 2006 will be very, very interesting.

And Santorum must be shaking in his boots... always a nice thought, that...
---
Just heard that turnout was up by about 10 Million. Not as much as hoped for.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,890
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2004, 10:07:43 AM »

And why is that?  Because Kerry won Penn. by 120K?  Massive turnout in central PA made the state closer than it should have been.

Actually because Hoeffel came shockingly close to knocking off Specter
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,890
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2004, 10:24:49 AM »


True, but most of the time he was polling lower than that. He did better than I expected him to do (but as I wanted Specter to win this was kinda worrying).

I exaggerated (everyone else is doing it. Why not me? ahahaha...) I should have said "if Hoeffel runs in 2006 Santorum could be in trouble".

Too much coffee is bad for thinking
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,890
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2004, 10:59:12 AM »


True, but most of the time he was polling lower than that. He did better than I expected him to do (but as I wanted Specter to win this was kinda worrying).

I exaggerated (everyone else is doing it. Why not me? ahahaha...) I should have said "if Hoeffel runs in 2006 Santorum could be in trouble".

Too much coffee is bad for thinking

Fair enough:) I had a litre of booze last night and six cups of coffee this morning.  This election nearly killed me.  Santorum gets out his base though and in off election years (non-Pres. elections) Philly doesn't come out as much.  W/O big Philly turnout Penn. is a pretty conservative state,

True, but Evangelical turnout will be lower in 2006. Santorum v Hoeffel could be very close.

Guess it depends how the next 2 years go
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