German Election Results Thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The city that doesn't exist would have been gained by the CDU if it did.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Time to make a map onethinks.

http://www.stadt-frankfurt.de/wahlen/zweit/otzweit.htm

To save you the bother of calculating turnout
Altstadt 72.8, Innenstadt 63.3, Gutleut/Bahnhof 68.4, Gallus 59.7, Bockenheim 74.6, Westend S 81.8, N 75.6, Northend W 79.1, E 78.9, Bornheim 73.8, Eastend 73.3, Oberrad 71.2, Sachsenhausen N 77.6, S 76.7, Niederrad 69.1, Schwanheim 67.8, Griesheim 57.0, Nied 66.1, Höchst 61.6, Sindlingen 64.0, Zeilsheim 66.2, Unterliederbach 68.6, Sossenheim 62.6, Rödelheim 69.3, Hausen 74.3, Praunheim 70.6, Heddernheim 71.2, Niederursel 69.3, Eschersheim 76.3, Ginnheim 73.4, Dornbusch 77.8, Eckenheim 66.1, Preungesheim 70.6, Berkersheim 74.0, Bonames 65.8, Frankfurter Berg 68.2 (it is now possible to calculate these separately!), Seckbach 71.4, Riederwald 63.9, Fechenheim 62.8, Bergen Enkheim 78.0, Kalbach 79.4, Nieder Eschbach 70.1, Harheim 82.9, Nieder Erlenbach 81.3.

SPD wins Gallus, Riederwald, Fechenheim and Höchst.
Greens win Northend E, Bockenheim and Gutleut/Bahnhof. SPD and Greens tie for second in Bornheim, 0.2 behind the CDU.

Yeah, I'll start work on that soon.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

CDU fails to gain Darmstadt by just 46 votes. Closest result ofthe night methinks.

Tempted to make a joke about that result being discordant, but I'll hold my tongue...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

CDU fails to gain Darmstadt by just 46 votes. Closest result ofthe night methinks.

Tempted to make a joke about that result being discordant, but I'll hold my tongue...

Not sure what you mean?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darmstadt_School

[Filuwaúrdjan]

SPD hold Braunschweig

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Btw, what news from the state elections?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

SPD lose a load of seats in Berlin

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Results for Cologne seats aren't up on the federal thing, but are on the Cologne website. SPD win I, III and IV & Leverkusen, CDU win II.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Steinmeier wins in (wait for it) Brandenburg an der Havel - Potsdam-Mittelmark I - Havelland III - Teltow-Fläming I. Not by a great deal, but the SPD trailed on the list vote.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Frankfurt maps. Did quite quickly due to possible loss of internet soonish - some minor errors possible.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al the maps are great!  Soo... when can we expect the others?

Presuming that my nice new internet connection stays, later today, maybe. Or early tomorrow.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Map shows the lead of the leading party (direct vote). Standard key (ie; 0, 1, 2, 5, 7, 10, 15, 25, 33, 45). Mistakes possible - please point any out if seen so changes can be made.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al

Wow, Saxony stands out, it's almost as blue as Bavaria. Why is it so much more conservative than the other ex-DDR states?

Others can explain better than I can (I think it has something to do with political developments in the first few years after the fall of the SED and with strong CDU governments at state level. Or something like that), but for now, note that the CDU polled at the national average for the direct vote seats and only slightly better on the PR vote. The party-lead thing flatters the CDU a lot in Saxony.

Edit: and someone who knows far more about it, explains things

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'll be doing constituency maps for the five major parties (list vote - probably CDU and FDP on one set, SPD, Left, Green on the next) and then other stuff. Including Left-Right.

Btw, if there are any other breakdowns for individual cities and so on I'll be happy to do those also. And also if there's postal-precinct stuff for Frankfurt again - I had fun last time I did that.

Edit: yeah, might do some more direct-vote maps as well, but not for a while.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Frankfurt reduced the number of precincts while you were sleeping ill (ie, testrunning the new larger precincts for the Euros.) At least they kept the naming scheme. That means I'm not in all cases sure where the postal precincts are right now.

That was dastardly of them. Bah.

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[Filuwaúrdjan]

What other cities might you be happiest to do?

Just about anywhere, I think. Though larger ones first.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What's with the pattern of FDP support in Schleswig-Holstein?

Presumably some of it is a Hamburg suburbia thing.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What's with the pattern of FDP support in Schleswig-Holstein?

Presumably some of it is a Hamburg suburbia thing.

It extends quite far, if that's the case.

It was just a guess. And electoral patterns can have multiple causes - the reasons for FDP strength in southern Holstein might be different to elsewhere in the state. But guesses can be very wrong, so...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Surely "old Möllemann buddy" and "utterly unscrupulous populist" mean the same thing

The left parties by constituency set will be up either later tonight or at some point tomorrow morning/early afternoon, btw.

What other cities might you be happiest to do?

Just about anywhere, I think. Though larger ones first.

Hamburg?

Stadtteile results (excluding postals) from page 18

You hopefully still have your old map template.

Just in case:

Yeah, Hamburg will do. Might be interesting to see the differences between the last City State elections there.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Bigger version in the gallery

[Filuwaúrdjan]

As far as the Greenies go, I'm always mildly surprised at how well they do in parts of Württemberg.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Oh aye. Pattern goes back all the way to 1980.

Is there any reason for it, or is it just one of those odd patterns that happen (almost) just because they do?

Btw, have started on the Hamburg set.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Note that while the CDU narrowly led on the list vote overall, they didn't if postals aren't included and postals aren't included in the figures used to make these maps. Bigger version here.

For comparision (though note that the values of the colours are different) the results of the 2008 elections in the city.

And, yes, the Left did win a Stadtteil.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Little oddities I've been thinking about trying to understand but never have gotten around to, chapter 37

Why does Pforzheim city vote a little less "urban" than the surrounding district?

This year's results:
Pforzheim CDU 35.9, SPD 20.3, FDP 18.6, Greens 10.2, Left 8.8
Enzkreis CDU 33.8, FDP 20.2, SPD 19.9, Greens 12.1, Left 6.7

Alright, so the Left result doesn't look odd.

What's Pforzheim like?