Would a SYRIZA victory mean the end of the Euro? (user search)
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  Would a SYRIZA victory mean the end of the Euro? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Would a SYRIZA victory mean the end of the Euro?  (Read 4312 times)
ingemann
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« on: June 04, 2012, 01:25:47 PM »

Does the secession of Greece from the Eurozone really kill the Euro, though?  I've noticed a lot of people arguing this and I don't think it's necessarily true: the Euro could die, but I don't think it's preordained that it wouldn't survive Greece leaving.

It could, but it would be a unlikely worst case scenario. But giving in to Greece would kill the Euro, simply because it would remove the incitement to behave responsible.
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ingemann
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2012, 03:03:23 PM »


And to answer the title question, no, but why do people assume that SYRIZA would act "reasonably" when in power and that this is in fact a good idea? If you haven't been paying attention the last four years (at least) have been terrible for reasonableness.

Agreed, at least to the extent that a quiet, amicable divorce of Greece and the Eurozone due to irreconcilable differences is not a catastrophe some are setting it up to be.  The sky will not fall.

At least not for people outside Greece, for the Greeks it will turn very ugly.
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ingemann
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2012, 11:02:41 AM »

What would a full blown Euro unraveling actually look like?  Since (if I'm understanding this correctly) one can't leave the Euro without withdrawing from the EU altogether, would the end of the Euro mean the end of the EU?  (Which I guess would then probably be followed some kind of rebuilding of the EU through brand new treaties, but without a common currency?)


The Euro if it collapse, won't be the first transnational European valuta to collapse, both the Krone/Krona and the Franc started as valutas with 1 to 1 exchange rates between the countries which used them. Both fixed exchange rate collapse around WWI. While the Euro is close, the same would happen here. The different countries would continue to use Euros, but you wouldn't be able to use them in the neighbouring countries, and they would be sold at different rates on the international markets. A Greek Euro would likely collapse and become like the Lira or Drachma, while the value of the German Euro would rise sharply. Some countries may change the name of the valuta, but most would likely just keep it, rather than vaste the resources on changing the name.
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