Handicapping Kansas

[argentarius]

Will we get any polls or is it assumed that Santorum wins big? Is it helpful to Rick's momentum if it comes as a semi-surprise because we have no polling. The question is who breaks 20. If Paul put a bigger focus here he could've done it, but I think he falls short. I think Romney will just about break 20.

[argentarius]

I thought Kansas would be close... After reading your posts, It seems to be a given than Santorum will win ^^

Consider what Santorum and Romney emphasise
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/What%27s_the_matter_with_kansas
Look at this, look at the 2008 results, and then you'll see why it won't be close.

[argentarius]

Oh the at-large delegates are proportional this time? I guess Santorum doesn't take all delegates then.

Proportional for those who get 20%. I think Newt will get maybe 7% or something, Paul has spent enough time in the state to get 15%, and this leaves Santorum needing 60 to get the sweep. And I don't put it past him. I don't know how some of you predict Romney to do better here, in his worst state in the country imo, than he's doing in the Gallup poll.