NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7 (user search)
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June 20, 2024, 10:34:35 PM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT/Siena: PA--Trump +3, WI-Biden +2, MI-Trump +7, GA-Trump +10, NV-Trump +12, AZ-Trump +7  (Read 3864 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: May 13, 2024, 10:08:47 AM »

So what's the standard for posting polls here, Likely Voters or Registered Voters when both are available? I would think it would be Likely Voters but it seems to vary by the whim  of the original poster. The difference between a terrible poll for Biden in MI (Trump +7 RV) and a toss up race (Biden+1 LV).
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2024, 04:01:17 PM »

Wasn't GoTFan basically trying to convince everyone on election night 2020 that Trump would win Wisconsin and it was a lost cause for Biden? Like, while the votes were still being counted?

As I explained above (that you just decided to ignore) I generally assume the worst case scenario for everything.

Then what do you add to the discussion? I appreciate anyone's honest opinion even if I don't agree with it but when you readily admit your default position is to believe the worst for one side your opinion becomes meaningless.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2024, 04:20:54 PM »

Unpopular opinion, these are not bad polls for Biden.

The NYT polls and the 2 and 5 way averages all show the tipping point state currently around Trump 1-3 points. Of course team Biden would prefer it was the other way around but the polling does not show the disaster some are making it out to be.
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