To be fair, it is a minority of poll-unskewers here who refuse to believe that Trump is ahead. Every recent poll we have had on here shows a clear majority of Atlas users believing that Trump is favoured to win.
Those are two different things. Personally I think Trump is ahead at the moment but Biden is still favored to win. The problem with "If the election was held today" analysis 7 months out is the election is not being held today. Campaigns are not going full bore. The reality of what's at stake has not set in. Normies are not paying attention. As we get closer to the election partisons who have strayed will return to their corners, many people now saying they will vote 3rd party will find out what the 3rd party candidates actually stand for and decide not to waste their votes. People who have ignored Binden & Trump as much as they could for the past 3 1/2 years will start paying attention again. It's a lifetime until the election.
