Arizona Exit Polls
/b]
White (74%) = 66% Romney, 32% Obama
Hispanic (18%) = 74% Obama, 25% Romney
Nevada Exit Polls:
White (64%) = 56% Romney, 43% Obama
Black (9%) = 92% Obama, 6% Romney
Hispanic (19%) = 71% Obama, 24% Romney
The interesting thing is that in 2008 Obama got 40% of AZ whites (Kerry got 41% in 2004) and 56% of AZ hispanics. Maybe there was a negative reaction among whites there to the federal government suing over SB1070?
That 8% difference (32% v. 40%) on a base of 74% is worth about 6 points. A Democrat could get to 50% in Arizona in 2016 with 40% of the white vote provided they could simultaneously maintain those margins with minorities.
