Well you trended 2 more points to the left and were about 11 points right of center. With all things being equal, Georgia would be about 56-44. I'd say you're about as close as Indiana, Arizona, and South Carolina. You have a ways to go and Obama being black helped him in the peach state tremendously. You know I love how liberals say "it's just a few elections away" when it comes to southern states and Arizona. Actually, both parties are guilty of wishful thinking, but the Democrats do it worse. I see my party do it with New Jersey but unless some of the liberals migrate back to NY, it will remain a purplish blue.
This is a little OT, but CT, not NJ is by far the best R opportunity for a new swing state in the Northeast. Look how hard CT swung toward Romney as opposed to the Obama swing in NJ. CT and GA could both be legit purple in the 2020's if social issues subside.
Was the 2008-2012 CT swing really that hard though?
2008: 60.6% D, 38.2% R, 1.2% other
2012: 58.1% D, 40.7% R, 1.2% other
The raw votes for Republicans didn't change much compared to the drop for Democrats. 2008 was 998k Obama v 629k McCain while 2012 was 905k Obama v 635k Romney. CT's new
same-day registration law starts this year too so it will be interesting to see how that affects turn-out in 2014 and on.
Connecticut is surprisingly ethnically diverse too:
70.3% non-hispanic white in 2012.
