Canada Federal Representation 2024

[Krago]

Here are the twenty largest federal ridings in descending order, along with their 2021 Census populations.

FEDuid	FEDprov	FEDname	FEDpop_2021	FEDarea (km2)
62001	NU	Nunavut	36,858	1,836,994
61001	NT	Northwest Territories	41,070	1,127,712
24001	QC	Abitibi--Baie-James--Nunavik--Eeyou	89,087	731,401
60001	YT	Yukon	40,232	472,345
46003	MB	Churchill--Keewatinook Aski	81,258	420,975
59028	BC	Skeena--Bulkley Valley	89,689	325,625
47003	SK	Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River	71,488	296,772
35042	ON	Kenora	64,261	285,752
10004	NL	Labrador	26,655	258,539
59024	BC	Prince George--Peace River--Northern Rockies	108,998	249,105
35107	ON	Timmins--James Bay	80,785	241,783
24046	QC	Manicouagan	88,525	234,442
48023	AB	Fort McMurray--Cold Lake	110,163	142,870
48024	AB	Grande Prairie--Mackenzie	119,586	111,865
48028	AB	Peace River--Westlock	107,223	106,395
35002	ON	Algoma--Manitoulin--Kapuskasing	80,310	92,667
59004	BC	Cariboo--Prince George	111,226	82,820
48034	AB	Yellowhead	99,218	77,134
35106	ON	Thunder Bay--Superior North	83,325	76,106
47002	SK	Cypress Hills--Grasslands	68,314	75,611

[Krago]

Here are some boundary proposals found on twitter:

https://twitter.com/kylejhutton/status/1500818791701352453

https://twitter.com/kylejhutton/status/1500818793534312451

https://twitter.com/FedBoundaries/status/1499424888695791617

https://twitter.com/connordpeters/status/1499367677575446532

https://twitter.com/baribeaup/status/1500860102466809857

https://twitter.com/jkhatepage/status/1501347185291456517

[Krago]

Looking at PEI, it's unlikely we will have no change again, as the current map splits the municipality of North Shore between Cardigan and Malpeque. It wasn't a problem before the merger of Grand Tracadie (in Cardigan) and Pleasant Grove (in Malpeque) into North Shore (also in Malpeque).

Thanks for the heads up.  I've made a few edits to PEI and also to New Brunswick (Tracadie has expanded across the old county line).

https://bit.ly/Canada342

I still need someone from the Saint John area to tell me if my three alternative ridings are a good idea.  I'll even settle for someone from Fredericton

[Krago]

I still need someone from the Saint John area to tell me if my three alternative ridings are a good idea.  I'll even settle for someone from Fredericton

Both proposals for the SJ area look fine to me...the big qualm I have is with Moncton. I'd lop off (mostly Francophone) Dieppe and give it to Beausejour, and keep Riverview with Moncton.

Which is likely, like last time when it was proposed to raise the extremely vocal ire of Francophone organisations saying that Francophones are being packed in Beauséjour and that is an attempt to transform the bilingual riding of Moncton into an Anglophone one.

Here are the Mother Tongue figures (2016 Census, single responses) for the ten existing New Brunswick ridings and my proposed ridings.

Current FED	English%	French%	Other%
Acadie--Bathurst	16%	83%	1%
Beauséjour	34%	64%	2%
Fredericton	85%	8%	7%
Fundy Royal	94%	4%	2%
Madawaska--Restigouche	17%	82%	1%
Miramichi--Grand Lake	72%	24%	4%
Moncton--Riverview--Dieppe	62%	33%	5%
New Brunswick Southwest	94%	4%	2%
Saint John--Rothesay	91%	4%	5%
Tobique--Mactaquac	81%	16%	3%
New Brunswick	65%	32%	3%

Proposed FED	English%	French%	Other%
Acadie--Bathurst	14%	85%	1%
Beauséjour	36%	62%	2%
Carleton--Charlotte	94%	3%	3%
Fredericton	84%	8%	8%
Fundy Royal	87%	10%	3%
Gagetown-Kennebecasis	94%	4%	1%
Madawaska--Grand Falls--Restigouche	20%	79%	1%
Miramichi--Grand Lake	79%	18%	4%
Moncton--Dieppe	49%	47%	4%
Saint John--Rothesay	91%	4%	5%
New Brunswick	65%	32%	3%

By moving Riverview to Fundy--Royal and uniting Dieppe within Moncton--Dieppe, the net effect is to turn Moncton from a 2-1 anglophone seat to a 50-50 bilingual riding.

[Krago]

I tried to incorporate the proposed new NB municipal boundaries into the Level 2 boundaries, btw...

I tried to update my New Brunswick ridings last night.  It was so frustrating that I almost changed the name to Canada332!

Where did you find the shapefiles of the new local entities?  This site (http://www.snb.ca/geonb1/e/DC/catalogue-E.asp) seems to have everything but the boundaries that I was looking for.

[Krago]

Sending out the BatSignal to the506!

What do you think of my latest proposed Fredericton riding?

bit.ly/Canada342

[Krago]

Here are the deadlines for submitting initial proposals to the federal electoral boundaries commissions:

About the commissions

• Newfoundland and Labrador - Unknown
• Nova Scotia - Unknown
• Prince Edward Island - March 9
• New Brunswick - March 31
• Quebec - March 11
• Ontario - March 1
• Manitoba - April 4
• Saskatchewan - March 7
• Alberta - June 30
• British Columbia - Unknown

[Krago]

Here are the deadlines for submitting initial proposals to the federal electoral boundaries commissions:

About the commissions

• Newfoundland and Labrador - Unknown
• Nova Scotia - Unknown
• Prince Edward Island - March 9
• New Brunswick - March 31
• Quebec - March 11
• Ontario - March 1
• Manitoba - April 4
• Saskatchewan - March 7
• Alberta - June 30
• British Columbia - Unknown

Will you be submitting your full proposals? Or are you only eligible to submit proposals for your own locality?

All of them, baby.  Go big or go home.

[Krago]

After seeing all the other Calgary proposals, I decided to take another kick at the can.

bit.ly/Canada342  (Alternatives)

Introducing the monstrosity known as Calgary Ogden!

[Krago]

My new improved Calgary alternative.  Thoughts?

[Krago]

You know, I think the area south of Fish Creek is about the size of one riding. Wouldn't it make sense to make that area one riding, since Fish Creek makes for such a natural border?

Here is the Hatman Variation.

[Krago]

This is my favourite of your Calgary maps so far. I might suggest trading Inglewood and Ramsay from Calgary Glenmore to Calgary Centre in exchange for Bankview, just because Bankview is better connected to the rest of Calgary Glenmore while Inglewood/Ramsay are separated from the rest of Calgary Glenmore by a large industrial area. But that's more of a minor note.

Here is a version that incorporates your suggestions and adds a Varsity for Renfrew neighbourhood swap that keeps Varsity in the same riding as the University of Calgary.  Please let me know if this is an improvement.

[Krago]

Here is the allotment of Quebec's old/new 78 federal seats across the regions:

AREA	REGION	2021 CENSUS POP.	QUOTA
N	Abitibi-Témiscamingue	147,082	1.35	28.97
N	Capitale-Nationale	757,950	6.95
N	Côte-Nord	88,525	0.81
N	Lanaudière	528,598	4.85
N	Laurentides	636,083	5.84
N	Mauricie	273,055	2.51
N	Nord-du-Québec	45,740	0.42
N	Outaouais	405,158	3.72
N	Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean	275,552	2.53
ML	Laval	438,366	4.02	22.41
ML	Montréal	2,004,265	18.39
S	Bas-Saint-Laurent	199,039	1.83	26.62
S	Centre-du-Québec	250,445	2.30
S	Chaudière-Appalaches	433,312	3.98
S	Estrie	337,701	3.10
S	Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine	89,342	0.82
S	Montérégie	986,140	9.05
S	Montérégie Est	605,480	5.55
	Quebec	8,501,833	78

[Krago]

I've updated my map with new alternatives in the Belleville and Ajax areas.

I've also added a 78-seat map of Quebec.  All ridings are within 10% of the provincial average with four exceptions:
- Terrebonne's population is 46 above the 10% threshold
- Abitibi--Baie-James--Nunavik--Eeyou, Gaspésie--Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, and Manicouagan are all between 18%-19% below the provincial quotient

https://bit.ly/Canada343

Please let me know what you think.


Now with new alternatives in Lévis (thanks Philly D!) and Halton Region.

[Krago]

I say wanted, because I found another way to relieve pressure on Ottawa (and left Ottawa South intact.)

Ottawa-Hull?

[Krago]

My website finally broke 10,000 views!  And only half of them are from me!

bit.ly/Canada343

Now with new alternatives in Halton Region.

[Krago]

How the hell did you folks figure out the poll-by-poll results for Aurora--Oak Ridges--Richmond Hill and London North Centre?

[Krago]

Try https://censusmapper.ca/

You can create you own thematic maps of Calgary (or any other place in Canada) using 2016 Census data.

[Krago]

Has anyone managed to get the Interactive Mapping tool to work?

https://redecoupage-redistribution-2022.ca/rim/?locale=en-ca&prov=NS

I signed up for an account, but the first time I tried to sign in it said my account was blocked.

[Krago]

"Papineau" would make a great name for that orange riding, but of course that is taken. Apparently that area is also called La Petite Nation as a touristy name (which exists in the current riding's name as well), which would work. Just picking three random places in the riding to name it isn't going to work.

Do the residents of La Petite Nation ever fight the residents of La Petite-Patrie in Montreal to see who is 'Petite-ier'?

[Krago]

"Papineau" would make a great name for that orange riding, but of course that is taken. Apparently that area is also called La Petite Nation as a touristy name (which exists in the current riding's name as well), which would work. Just picking three random places in the riding to name it isn't going to work.

La Petite Nation isn't a touristy name, it's the name of the valley (and river) in that area and the name of the old seigneurie (founded by Champlain himself). It's the name Champlain gave to the local Algonquin tribe (until they were extermined by the Iroquois a few decades later).

La-Petite-Patrie is named after an early 70's novel in which the author describe his childhood in the area. It was usually considered a part of Villeray then, even if it was quite different (or like everywhere in Montreal, by using the name of the local parishes, in that case Sainte-Cécile and Saint-Édouard; the later also being a current municipal ward).

If Montreal ridings are being named after 70s novels, what about Outremont--Duddy-Kravitz?

[Krago]

The proposals for BC and PEI have been released:

https://redecoupage-redistribution-2022.ca/ebv/en/?locale=en-ca&prov=bc

https://redecoupage-redistribution-2022.ca/ebv/en/?locale=en-ca&prov=pe


I strongly suggest using ‘OpenStreetMap’ as your basemap.

[Krago]

I made a better map of BC last night. It seemed to get a lot of good comments on Twitter. What do you think?

The road to Hell is paved with good comments on Twitter.

[Krago]

I have completely revised my BC map.  MPs who enjoy crossing rivers (or inlets or false creeks) will be very disappointed.

https://bit.ly/Canada343


My 43rd riding is qathat--Sea-to-Sky Country--Fraser Canyon--Nicola--Similkameen.  I've dropped a few names for the map.

[Krago]

Those Vancouver boundaries look great!  Can I steal them for my proposal?