Do Dems get a "working majority"? (user search)
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  Do Dems get a "working majority"? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Do Dems finish with.....
#1
Over 51.5 Senate seats?
 
#2
Under 51.5 Senate seats?
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 56

Author Topic: Do Dems get a "working majority"?  (Read 1715 times)
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,653
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« on: October 25, 2020, 06:40:34 PM »

While I think the Dems getting a raw majority is a pretty decent chance of happening right now, the problem is getting a majority that doesn't rely on Manchin/Sinema, or (more significantly) relying on procedural hawks like Feinstein and King. I'm still a bit skeptical that they do so.

IMO if the Dems are under 52 Senate seats it's as good as a loss in the Senate as nothing will pass.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,653
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 08:07:19 PM »

Yes, but that's after admitting DC as a state
The problem is I don't see 50-51 seats being enough to admit DC as a state.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,653
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 09:40:11 PM »

Yes, but that's after admitting DC as a state
The problem is I don't see 50-51 seats being enough to admit DC as a state.

Not a single Democratic Senator will oppose it. There is no argument against it (assuming you exclude the federal buildings) beyond "They might elect Democrats/blacks to the Senate, and I don't like that." No Democrat is going to stand up for taxation without representation, for Americans denied a voice in Congress altogether.

Once it's going to pass anyway, you'll probably see some Republican support too, just for the optics.
I was assuming that DC statehood could still be filibustered, and my point was I'm not sure if there's enough numbers to nuke the filibuster.

Although if Angus King is saying "do it", then.....
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