Upset of election night (user search)
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  Upset of election night (search mode)
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Author Topic: Upset of election night  (Read 1859 times)
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,652
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« on: October 28, 2014, 08:38:52 PM »

What do you think will be the biggest upsets of election night in Congress? Can be for both House and Senate races.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,652
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2014, 08:53:50 PM »

Are we judging whether or not it's an upset by the polls, or just by what you'd expect from the fundamentals? For example, Coakley/Brownback losing wouldn't be surprising to any of us, but it would be for the latter type.
Former, though the latter would work for underpolled races (although most competitive Senate races has had a lot of polling).
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,652
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2014, 10:02:15 PM »

I think some strong-red district like UT-04, AR-02, LA-06, KS-02, WV-02 will be an unexpected gain/hold for democrats.

LA-06 is going to a runoff no matter what happens on election night.
Is that the district where the lizard is running?
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