Alright, I'll ask, why do people think McConnell's going to win?
2) Obama is hugely unpopular.
3) Mcconnell is a political killer and has an important war chest. Grimes has yet to hit 47% in any poll and the undecideds would break heavily for McConnell even in a mild Democratic year, which this clearly is not.
FTFY
OTOH, isn't the CW that incumbents break against the incumbent?
I still think McConnell is favoured, but anyone pretending this isn't a race is silly.
Poll
