Four years from today, who will be.....?

[morgieb]

Clinton
Merkel
Hollande
Milliband
Harper
Abbott

Don't really know enough about Germany and France, so they're a little up in the air.

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton (most likely anyway. All the prospective Republicans don't quite seem strong enough right now, the only one who has a real shot is Walker)
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel (or whoever her replacement is in the CDU, they'll probably have the edge in German politics for a long time)
...president of France? Whoever the UMP nominate (that's right, I think Hollande is f[Inks]ed)
...prime minister of the UK? Ed Milliband (won't rule out Cameron though, he's still fairly popular personally IIRC whereas Milliband isn't)
...prime minister of Canada? Stephen Harper (though I suspect Harper might consider giving up the gun. Not convinced on Trudeau jnr. just yet)
...prime minister of Australia? Tony Abbott (unpopular sure, but his majority is pretty big and I don't see enough stomach for a coup given how Labor's second term went)

[morgieb]

Australia- Prime Minister; While I think the Liberal Party will remain in power for the next four years  I find it unlikely that Tony Abbott will be Prime Minister in four years. My guess is the next Prime Minister will be Foreign Affairs Minister Julie Bishop, New South Wales Liberal Party Leader Mike Baird Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull, Education Minister Christopher Pyne or Health Minister Peter Dutton


Canada- Prime Minister; I'm probably not going out on much of a limb here... but I'm pretty certain Thomas Mulcair the next Prime Minister of Canada.

U.K Prime Minister- David Cameron loses his coalition partners but picks up enough seats on his own to hang on.

France- President; Nicolas Sarkozy

Germany- Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel

President of the United States; If Hillary Clinton is the Democrats nominee they win. Otherwise the Republicans could nominate Vidkun Quisling and win.

Seriously, do you understand how the Australian system works?

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Hannelore Kraft
...president of France? Nicholas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Ed Miliband
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau

[morgieb]

...prime minister of Australia? Tony Abbott will be re-elected

This prediction is only a week old, and is already on life support. 

It was already on life support when he made the prediction.

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Hannelore Kraft
...president of France? Nicholas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Ed Miliband
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau

Well there's one wrong.

And at the risk of sounding like Talleyrand, I suspect by 2019, we may have wall-to-wall Conservative governments across all six countries.

Pretty sure Shorten will get Milibanded, now.

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Nicolas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Angela Eagle
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (despite me thinking Malcolm wins tomorrow)

A few bolters, but meh.

[morgieb]

...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (despite me thinking Malcolm wins tomorrow)

Shorten's going to hang on as ALP leader even if they lose the election this weekend?  (Not saying that's not true, I just haven't really thought about it.)

If it's close enough I suspect he will, yeah.

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Nicolas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Angela Eagle
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (despite me thinking Malcolm wins tomorrow)

A few bolters, but meh.

Well this is off to a bad start. Clinton and Sarko lost and Eagle got cold feet.

[morgieb]

...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Nicolas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Angela Eagle
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (despite me thinking Malcolm wins tomorrow)

A few bolters, but meh.

So I think I got 2/6. Ooooof.

Now let's try 2026:

US: Trump
Germany: Spahn
France: Macron (I know, bold call)
UK: Starmer
Canada: Trudeau
Australia: Albanese