°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,289
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« on: February 09, 2016, 09:08:45 AM » |
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Trump 25
Kasich 17
Rubio 17
Cruz 15
Bush 10
Carson 6
Christie 6
Fiorina 3
Gilmore 1
all others 0
The point is that I think Kasich and Rubio will be close as will Carson and Christie.
I am more likely to be right that Kasich will narrowly defeat Rubio than that Carson will be in 6th.
If Rubio beats Kasich and/or Christie beats Carson, I still give myself a passing grade, other than that if this order is wrong I fail. Obvioiusly anyone who finishes fifth or worse is toast.
Also Cruz can finish a close 4th and still be viable because he is not strong in New Hampshire.
If Bush finishes second he will get a boost.
Sanders 58.5
Clinton 41.5
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