Kansas abortion rights amendment thread - "NO" wins! (user search)
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  Kansas abortion rights amendment thread - "NO" wins! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kansas abortion rights amendment thread - "NO" wins!  (Read 8671 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,086
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: August 02, 2022, 07:58:08 PM »

88-12 No in Lawrence, this is a bloodbath for the Christian right.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,086
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2022, 08:04:12 PM »

Everyone keep in mind that if this is all EV, it could still get very close.  Remember the Oklahoma Medicaid Expansion referendum?

But there's also nothing in from Johnson, Douglas, or Sedgwick, which No should do pretty good in.

It's going to tighten considerably. It can tighten a ton and No still gets a comfortable win.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,086
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2022, 09:07:33 AM »

Interestingly, the only polling that was ever done for the amendment had it passing 47-43%.

That's a pretty big miss.

https://coefficient.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/KS-VTB-Amendment-7.18.pdf

Eh, we only had one poll and honestly this entire campaign *really* ramped up with awareness in the last 2 weeks alone, so I don't think that one poll should be super scrutinized.

The poll has Rs at a much higher sample and expected a low primary turnout. It was pretty clear the yes campaign had major red flags with moderates and indies.
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