Devils30
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,076
Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
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« on: May 21, 2015, 08:25:20 PM » |
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Of course there's the deadcat bounce she will probably get in KY, WV, AR that will get her a couple points on Obama but not nearly enough to win. What places in key states do you think she can do better than Obama in? I would say:
Southwest PA/Eastern OH- Against someone like Jeb she might be able to win counties like Fayette outright. The PA/OH border is probably the biggest risk for a GOP flip compared to 2008, one they can ill-afford.
Palm Beach County, FL- Obama's 2012 was the worst Democratic showing here in a long time but the county is getting more diverse and Hillary probably won't slip much more with Jewish voters.
Northern FL- GOP's vote is pretty much maxed out, not much room for R's to grow in this inelastic region.
Atlanta suburbs- not a swing state yet but Henry County should flip blue based on the 2014 Senate numbers and Gwinnett in a Presidential year could be down to a 5% GOP margin.
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