FL-PPP: Hillary leads all Pubs

[Devils30]

PPP tends to give candidates from both sides much lower favorables than other polls. Inconsistent with what CNN and Quinniipac have found there. The electorate will also be 64% white not 68%. 2012 was 67%. Hillary can do fine with the Hispanic vote because the GOP portion of it skews older in Florida.

[Devils30]

Don't discount Hillary's experience and ability to get things done as a big reason she appeals to people more than personal favorables.

[Devils30]

Obama only won it by 1, she is doing better. Against Jeb or Rubio it will not be the tipping point most likely. Against Walker it can be.

[Devils30]

The reason Hillary has a strong shot in Florida is because there aren't too many swing voters in a Presidential. If she gets 36-40% of the white vote she likely wins it. Doubtful she will fall under 55% with Hispanics, could even get the same 60% Obama got nationally. Florida actually has an increasing eligible black voter population so even if turnout falls, she shouldn't lose much on Obama..maybe from like 94% to 91%.

[Devils30]

I would put it:
PA
NH
WI
VA
IA
CO
OH
FL
NC