2018 Governors- the Democrats silver lining? (user search)
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  2018 Governors- the Democrats silver lining? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Governors- the Democrats silver lining?  (Read 13943 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,085
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: November 05, 2014, 06:30:37 PM »

Okay, it was a horrible evening for Democrats at the state level no questions asked. That said, the elections all involved facing well- funded incumbent governors with an unpopular Democratic president on the ballot. 2018 is really the important year for Governors races as it comes right before redistricting a couple years after. Democrats in Florida in the long run may be better with Graham or Murphy running that year instead of an unpopular Crist. WI, MI, OH and VA in 2021 are also crucial states. The first three should be good opportunities for Dems as these Midwestern states seem to give each side 8 years more often than not.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,085
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2014, 07:45:54 PM »

Dems could have won an open seat in Michigan and Wisconsin yesterday. As for Florida you really can't rule out anything in 4 years. All depends on various factors and if Crist had run like Graham did in FL-2, he probably would have won statewide.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,085
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2014, 09:46:45 PM »

Not sure Murphy should decline to challenge Rubio. His approvals are pretty mediocre and Hillary might help at the top. The higher turnout wouldn't hurt either and he can fundraise quite well.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,085
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2014, 09:51:51 PM »

Gut feeling is that PA isn't in play next time. Rarely see two one term governors in a row from different parties. Wolf might be able to get popular support from taking on the legislature.

Don't rule out the GOP winning MA MD IL. Those are all moderate republicans who are businessmen and who don't seem to care at all about social issues.

Still think synder isn't really that popular and dems would be favored in MI and WI. The GOP will try to take out Gwen Graham in 2016 before she can run for governor but I doubt she'll have trouble winning in  a presidential year. Scott might drag Putnam down in 2018 and be more of a pain for the GOP than Crist would have been a boon for Hillary. Ohio is the least likely of the bunch.
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