Romney's path without Ohio, Hint: There is none

[Devils30]

I know there is a ton of talk on the right about how Mitt can win without the Buckeye state but I fail to see this happening realistically. Wisconsin seems even slightly more Obama friendly than Ohio, these two would bring Obama to 265 ev. However, I really don't see Mitt winning Nevada as he hasn't led a single poll there all year and Dems tend to overperform polling in the state. Colorado is only slightly better for Romney but still wouldn't bet on him winning it. Not to mention NH and IA look just as good for Obama as Ohio does. This is my best case scenario for a Mitt losing Ohio. Obama still wins 271-267

[Devils30]

I don't think Colorado has more than a 30% chance of going for Romney in an election decided under 1% nationally. Another state Dems tend to overperform and most polls dont have the white vote going enough for Romney to win there.

[Devils30]

It's possible Obama wins by less than 1% nationally yet takes 303 electoral votes. I'd still bet on Obama's margin being better than Ohio in IA, NV, CO, NH but that shouldnt exactly comfort Romney. Romney only wins WI if hes over +3 nationally IMO.

[Devils30]

I'll bump this: If Obama wins Ohio he is likely at 265 and adding Nevada puts him at 271 and over the top. I expect GOP trolls to say Mitt is close in Nevada but take a look at the polls vs election results history in NV and tell me if Romney should be confident. Dems in 2008,2010 overpeformed polling in NV by an average of 7 to 8 points
Bottom line: Romney likely cannot win the WH without Ohio