Potential UK General Election Late 2016 / Early 2017 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 14, 2024, 12:36:59 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Potential UK General Election Late 2016 / Early 2017 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Potential UK General Election Late 2016 / Early 2017  (Read 16129 times)
Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« on: June 24, 2016, 05:04:46 PM »
« edited: June 24, 2016, 05:13:58 PM by Simfan34 »

The question is, who will be the leaders. Cameron is gone, Corbyn is facing a major rebellion, which he isn ot looking very likely to survive. Hopefully, replacements will emerge fast.

Really hoping for a LibDem resurgence.

Johnson or Gove/McDonnell will be the leaders, I'm nearly certain

I would think Theresa May should not be discarded.

I second this. Johnson will probably not survive the selection process by the MPs. Keep in mind that a majority of Tory MPs backed remain. Also keep in mind that with his expansive patronage network (because that's what it is) George Osborne could, if he wanted to run, still probably muster enough support to make the runoff. Of course, he'd be roundly thrashed at that point, if he actually ran, but the point is that he retains considerable of influence amongst MPs and will thus be a key player in the leadership race.

Ultimately my hunch would be that the next leader will either be a soft remain frontbencher like May or Javid, or some unknown backbencher or junior minister, quite possibly linked to Osborne's network and related circles like the Free Enterprise Group. This would mean Patel, Raab, Kwarteng, and so forth (even though none of those are exactly unknowns), all of whom backed leave yet are connected to that network.

Indeed the more I think about it, the more possible George Osborne somehow managing to emerge as a winner in all this seems...

EDIT: Okay, no one's mentioned Kwesi Kwarteng, but he'd be exactly the kind of dark horse people are talking about. And not only is he a fellow Ghanaian, but I actually think he's actually a nephew of one of my "uncles". I suppose it's too late to try and get to know him now, if anything were to actually happen...
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.