University of Arkansas: Hillary +2 on Generic R (user search)
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  University of Arkansas: Hillary +2 on Generic R (search mode)
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Author Topic: University of Arkansas: Hillary +2 on Generic R  (Read 2543 times)
Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« on: October 24, 2013, 12:09:59 AM »

Romney won Arkansas in 2012 by about the same margin Obama won Maryland. Just for perspective.

Yeah, but Arkansas is very fond of the Clintons, most voters there are registered Democrats, and President Obama is very deeply hated up there.
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Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2013, 03:48:57 AM »

Romney won Arkansas in 2012 by about the same margin Obama won Maryland. Just for perspective.

Yeah, but Arkansas is very fond of the Clintons, most voters there are registered Democrats, and President Obama is very deeply hated up there.

Still, imagine a poll showing a certain Republican leading generic D by 2 points in Maryland. When I look at it from that perspective, it's easy to see why the Republicans are in desperation mode trying to bring Hillary down.

Romney won Arkansas in 2012 by about the same margin Obama won Maryland. Just for perspective.

Yeah, but Arkansas is very fond of the Clintons, most voters there are registered Democrats, and President Obama is very deeply hated up there.

This.

Its not an apples-to-apples comparison. Obama's huge losing margins in states like AR and WV are unique to him. Any R would get crushed in MD.

The problem is that race plays a huge role in Arkansas politics, Arkansas has never voted for someone who is not white at the statewide level, President Obama would lose unbelievably against any Republican challenger, so as long as the Democrats nominate a Clinton then Arkansas will be in play.
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