This whole thing is just so odd. If Rosendale had announced a Senate bid a year ago, he’d probably be the frontrunner. Or if he decided to run for reelection much earlier, he would’ve easily won again. Now he’s jeopardized his house seat due to primary challengers. I just fail to see any logic here… what was Rosendale thinking?
I feel like politicians sometimes inexplicably do things that harm their own political careers. For instance:
-Matt Rosendale: see above
-Kyrsten Sinema: alienating her Democratic base and switching parties. If she had just voted like a generic Democrat, she probably would’ve been reelected this year.
-Victoria Spartz: announcing her retirement, alienating her colleagues, threatening to resign, then declaring to run again. What was that about??
Lauren Boebert: Carpetbag to a safe R but anti-MAGA seat because you’re at risk of losing your Trump+8 seat.
Her existing seat wasn't safe
for her. Being a committed MAGAT wasn't enough once her constituents got to know her. She won re-election in 2022 by less than 600 votes out of over 300,000 cast, and she's done nothing to improve her reputation with them since. (I have acquaintances in that part of Colorado, and she's both awful at constituent service, and considered an embarrassment by many conservatives.)
The 4th's circus of an open primary is going to make things somewhat up in the air, but the voters don't seem to have a good impression of either Boebert or her blatant carpetbagging. I would guess that she loses in the primary.
