The botched response to Katrina was when the tide really began to turn against Bush. Trump better hope this hurricane season is a mild one.
A "Major Hurricane" is a Category 3, 4 or 5 storm.
The last major hurricanes hitting the U.S. were the following:
1992 - Andrew (Cat 5)
1995 - Opal (Cat 3)
1996 - Fran (Cat 3)
1999 - Bret (Cat 3, sparsely populated area of TX)
2004 - Charley (Cat 4)
2004 - Ivan (Cat 3)
2004 - Jeanne (Cat 3)
2005 - Dennis (Cat 3)
2005 - Katrina (Cat 3)
2005 - Rita (Cat 3)
2005 - Wilma (Cat 3)
We've gone an unprecedented 11 hurricane seasons without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S. It's unbelievable.
Plus, nowadays, run of the mill common storms like Isaac 2012 prompt CNN full-blown over-coverage and over-hype in the post-Katrina world.
That's an unusually good point comma naso. Still, wouldn't you agree that even a category 2 storm can cause tremendous destruction and human hardship requiring leadership from FEMA and the NOAA?
Even more scary, since it is an unprecedented string of 11 straight hurricane Seasons without a cat 3 or higher storm, aren't we kind of pushing our luck here?
While there are larger trends that change thing up a little, the chances for a major hurricane hitting the US are basically the same every year. The idea that we're due for a major one (which I how I'm reading your question) is an example of gambler's fallacy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacyAnother point to consider is that given how long it's been, the media will be in frenzy mode. This could help Trump if the storm isn't damaging, or if the government does respond well. On the flip side, a FEMA and public that haven't had a major storm in over a decade could be woefully unprepared, making the results worse even before any hype from the media.
(His actual contribution to the outcome will be ultimately irrelevant, unless he really puts his foot in his mouth. Which is quite possible with Trump.)
