Republicans wouldn't pass NPV after an Obama EC win/Romney PV win. If they did, CA and other large blue states would just change state law to have automatic registration and mail ballots to every social security number in the state. There would be nothing anyone out of state could do to stop it.
I mixed up my estimated levels of NPV between the two threads. XD.
I was anticipating a small boost in R support if Romney won the popular vote, but you're right, the Democrat-leaning states can easily boost turnout to levels the Republicans can't match, which pretty much removes any incentive for Rs to support NPV.