Jews and Democrats (user search)
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Author Topic: Jews and Democrats  (Read 2282 times)
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,046


« on: October 12, 2020, 07:42:49 PM »

They're highly educated and live in liberal metropolitan areas.  Something like two-thirds of American Jews identify with liberal streams of Judaism (mainly Reform, smaller number Reconstructionist) or are totally nonaffiliated/secular. 

Seems to me to me there's about a 30-35% ceiling for the GOP in its current incarnation.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,046


« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 02:20:24 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2020, 03:36:27 PM by King of Kensington »

Democrat/lean Democrat

Orthodox  36%
Conservative  64%
Reform  77%
No denomination  75%

Republican/lean Republican

Orthodox  57%
Conservative  27%
Reform  17%
No denomination  15%

Ideology: Liberal

Orthodox  12%
Conservative  35%
Reform  58%
No denoination  58%

Ideology: Moderate

Orthodox  27%
Conservative  33%
Reform  29%
No denomination  26%

Ideology: Conservative

Orthodox  54%
Conservative  28%
Reform  13%
No denomination  13%

https://www.pewforum.org/2013/10/01/chapter-6-social-and-political-views/

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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,046


« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2020, 03:11:31 PM »

Trump's Jewish vote seems to be holding up from the polls I've seen, which are suggesting 70-25 D. Which suggests he only had the hard-right of the community to begin with, and little to lose on the right flank. Orthodox Jews are sticking with him.  
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,046


« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2020, 10:41:08 PM »

Well, I know plenty of centrist Jews who are mild social conservatives who could have been R targets but they won't flip because of the religious right, or let's be more direct about it, Christian conservatives.
There is some primordial wariness from the "Christian Nation" talks

This, it's much deeper then a lot of other factors people consider. Like it is true many Jews are secular and well-educated but there's also many Jews who have had the same path over several generations of assimilating into whiteness that other white ethnic groups did yet are still outsiders in a way that Irish or Italians haven't been in a long time. Even a generation ago when the suburbs were far more Republican then they are now Jews were still far more likely to vote Democrat then their WASP or Catholic neighbors. I think that culturally because most Jewish families still have stories of having experienced anti-Semitism in recent history there's just an innate hostility to a political party that from the McCarthy era to the War on Terror to Trumpism has by and large been the home to nationalistic and racial hysteria because the feeling is always there that even if Jews aren't the target they sure as hell sound like people who have made Jews the target in history and that if things get worse that could easily change.

If anything the Jewish / non-Jewish gap has lessened in the suburbs as they've shifted in a more Democratic direction. 

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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,046


« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 03:47:58 PM »

A lot less than in the past I suspect.

At this point (non-Orthodox) Jewish Democratic voting is as much about integration (into professional class liberalism) as it is about being "outsiders" in American society.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,046


« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2020, 02:25:45 PM »

AP Votecast:

Massachusetts  85-14
California  82-17
Maryland  78-21
Illinois  75-22
Pennsylvania  73-24
New Jersey  72-27
New York  58-42
Florida  56-43

I suspsected that there was a significant difference between states, but there's little hard data for that.  Not surprising to see California and Massachusetts having more progressive voting patterns, and NY Jews more conservative.

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