Bernie's Best Borough

[King of Kensington]

Upper West Side. Full of socialists and academic leftist types.

Elite academics and intellectuals are mostly voting along class lines for Hillary.

[King of Kensington]

For all of those who think Bernie's message will resonate in Brooklyn: how many secular Jews live in the neighborhoods that they grew up in? Not all that many and most have achieved rapid social mobility, so if they live in Brooklyn, they live in Park Slope or whatever and will be influenced by the Very Serious People in the New Yorker and the Times.

There are very few of the old-time secular Jews left in Brooklyn.  When Brooklyn's Jewish population peaked at around 900,000 in the 1950s, it was a very different Jewish population than is there today.  Orthodox Jews and Jews from the FSU make up the bulk of Brooklyn's Jewish population. 

In fact it's unlikely the "Ellis Island story" applies to most Brooklyn Jews. 

[King of Kensington]

I don't Brooklyn will be that narrow for Hillary.

Even if Bernie takes half the white vote, he'll lose by a wide margin.

[King of Kensington]

Queens is the biggest question mark for me, because there's nothing quite like it anywhere in the country.  It's like the Toronto of the USA or something.

I assume it'll go pretty comfortably for Hillary though.

[King of Kensington]

My guess:

Staten Island
Queens
Brooklyn
Manhattan
Bronx