USA States most similar to Canadian Provinces

[King of Kensington]

most similar

Ontario and Ohio
 

How so?

[King of Kensington]

Toronto is a kinda like a Chicago-Queens NY hybrid.  It's certainly the "odd man out" among Great Lakes cities IMO.

I think Michigan is the Midwestern state that most closely resembles Ontario (it's more Great Lakes-dominated and has a lake-y/woodsy northern zone).

Also, Ontario has very weak ties to Ohio.  

But most of the population of Ontario lives above New York State and demographically looks more NYS than any other US state IMO.

[King of Kensington]

Also, keep in mind that "swing province" is quite different from "swing state": given that Canadian politics is much more swing-y, and that there are two "Democratic" parties.

[King of Kensington]

New Brunswick/Maine strike me as the most similar provinces/states that border each other, followed by BC/Washington.  

Alberta: Hard to say.  Montana with cities?  Some sort of Montana/Wyoming/Colorado/Utah hybrid?
Montana also a stronger history of industrial unionism in the west, more like the Kootenays in BC, that Alberta really lacks.

Saskatchewan:  North Dakota.  Prairie/Great Plains province/state with a history of progressive populism and now seeing a resource boom.

Manitoba is kind of an oddball.  I see the Iowa comparison (surprisingly "progressive" rural state), not the Illinois one.  Minnesota is probably the closest as it is both lakey/woodsy with some "prairie" but Manitoba has a more of a Prairie/Plains "essence."  Few consider Minnesota a Plains state.

The Dakotas themselves are seen as quite split by the Missouri River - and it's at about the same longitude as the Saskatchewan/Manitoba border.  However the western Dakotas are very thinly populated.  

Would Ontario be considered a Northeastern state if part of the US?  Would Saskatchewan be in the "Midwest" with North Dakota and Manitoba or in the "West" with Montana and Alberta?

[King of Kensington]

But Ontario stretches about as far east as Albany.

[King of Kensington]

One thing that a lot of these Alberta comparisons miss is that Alberta actually has large cities.  Edmonton and Calgary are each about Montana-sized, and while Albertans might play up the country-boy image, Alberta is far, far more urbane than any of Montana, Wyoming, or Idaho. 

Yeah, I see the Colorado comparison for sure.  Denver and Calgary seem similar in a lot of ways, though Denver isn't a conservative city by US standards.  Not sure what "Edmonton" is though.

Colorado/Montana hybrid maybe?

[King of Kensington]

Northwest Territory - US Virgin Islands

There was actually an NDP MP in the 70s who wanted Canada to annex the Turks and Caicos Islands.

[King of Kensington]

One thing that a lot of these Alberta comparisons miss is that Alberta actually has large cities.  Edmonton and Calgary are each about Montana-sized, and while Albertans might play up the country-boy image, Alberta is far, far more urbane than any of Montana, Wyoming, or Idaho. 

Yes very true.  I find it odd that some say Alberta is our "Texas" because of all the cowboys, when in reality it is about as "cowboyish" as Colorado.