Ipsos exit poll of 2011 election (Canada)

[King of Kensington]

I've been going through it recently (joined LISPOP) - curious to know how good/reliable people think the Ipsos Weighting Factor is.  Ironically when I e-mailed Darrell Bricker - who has said a good polling company worth their salt can always tell you the detailsabout their weighting methodology - he just responded that it is "just standard demographics" (presumably, age, gender, region, etc.)

Anyway, been plowing through it and will try to give some demographic analysis of various voting groups besides the standard "chart" we've seen in the papers.

[King of Kensington]

So you're saying their weights are garbage? 

[King of Kensington]

The reason why we didn't hear about the "Sikh vote" is because it was a very small sample, just 45 respondents.  Skews on the younger side, but that's not surprising they're a young group.  It is dominated, not surprisingly, by Ontario and BC and the numbers aren't out of whack with the proportion of the Sikh populations in those provinces.  

Unweighted it went 44% NDP, 27% Liberal, 24% Conservative.  Too small to really isolate further.

Being a small sample: more suggestive than representative.

[King of Kensington]

Hindus (unweighted) went 35% Conservative, 34% Liberal, 25% NDP.  Of course there is no way to split Indian Hindus and Sri Lankan Hindus though the former group is larger (and the latter more concentrated in a few ridings).