Primary scenario (user search)
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Author Topic: Primary scenario  (Read 11988 times)
M
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Posts: 2,491


« on: January 08, 2004, 10:26:07 PM »

DC- don't forget this one, the media'll be all over it. I think it'll be a big Deaniac prize, but 96% of blacks voted for Jesse Jackson in 1988, so it's possible it could go to Sharpton (yuck!).

Iowa- low Dean victory. I think Gep drops out now- not because he doesn't think he could do OK on Feb. 3, but because he's really out of money.

NH- Dean wins huge. Clark in 2nd. Kerry drops or, if he doesn't, it doesn't matter because ge's down and out now.

Feb. 3
SC- Probably Clark, but Dean's momentum from January could carry him through. Outsider is are Sharpton (if there is a high black turnout and they vote solidly black). Edwards is just done, he'll drop out now, MIGHT be a running mate.
AZ- Clark
DE- Dean
OK- Clark
MO- Dean, I think
ND- Clark
NM- Dean
Lieberman drops now.

Rest of primary- Dean wins most big states, Either Clark is a fairly good challenger but eventually loses, or Clark flops and Dean sweeps. Outside possibility of Sharpton winning several Deep Southern states. Dean is the nominee.
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2004, 01:40:01 PM »

Hjon, you forgoterd SouCarlin, which onis improtant.
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