M
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,491
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« on: January 08, 2004, 10:26:07 PM » |
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DC- don't forget this one, the media'll be all over it. I think it'll be a big Deaniac prize, but 96% of blacks voted for Jesse Jackson in 1988, so it's possible it could go to Sharpton (yuck!).
Iowa- low Dean victory. I think Gep drops out now- not because he doesn't think he could do OK on Feb. 3, but because he's really out of money.
NH- Dean wins huge. Clark in 2nd. Kerry drops or, if he doesn't, it doesn't matter because ge's down and out now.
Feb. 3 SC- Probably Clark, but Dean's momentum from January could carry him through. Outsider is are Sharpton (if there is a high black turnout and they vote solidly black). Edwards is just done, he'll drop out now, MIGHT be a running mate. AZ- Clark DE- Dean OK- Clark MO- Dean, I think ND- Clark NM- Dean Lieberman drops now.
Rest of primary- Dean wins most big states, Either Clark is a fairly good challenger but eventually loses, or Clark flops and Dean sweeps. Outside possibility of Sharpton winning several Deep Southern states. Dean is the nominee.
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