Jewish vote in a Dean-Bush race

[M]

Now, I am an unabashed Jewish conservative, but many of my Jewish friends, acquaintances, and family members are liberals, and have been dems for generations. And lots of 'em DO NOT like Dean. A fair amount were pro-Iraq war, because it benefited Israel strategically, and a lot of them really were alarmed by Dean's ideas about even-handedness between the sole democracy in the MidEast, survivor of 2000 years of persecution without a country, and the PLO terrorist organization. ("Hamas suicide bombers are soldiers in a war.")

Well, if there is one truth about the Chosen People it is the one Moses pointed out over 3500 years ago- we are a stubborn and a stiff-necked people. So, Dean will proably still get a majority of the vote. But 79% a la Gore-Lieberman? Highly unlikely. And it is no secret a lot of Jews have money and or power, and their influence is worth more than their numbers indicate. We're also strategically stationed in very heavily dem states.

Any thoughts about how the Light Unto the Nations would break up in a Dean-Bush race? What is Dean does something seen as very anti-Israel, like endorsing E. Jerusalem as Arafatistan's capital? In such a scenario, could Bush possibly win 50%+ of the Jewish vote?

[M]

That may be approximately correct, though I wish Bush could do better. In the scenario I mentioned where Dean does smething really anti-Israel, then Bush might get as high as about 50%, I think. Don't hold me to that, though.

[M]

Nu, so who den vill ve vote for, Likud Party Usa???

This Jewish vote is going to Bush, and I can tell you for a fact that I have several traditionally liberal Jewish friends who will vote Bush over Dean for a variety of factors.

Percentages are hard to break down. But Dean has a history of statements that are not only vitriolic but bizarre. A few more in the wrong places and the Children of Israel will be led out of the Wilderness.