Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are all Likely Dem, no matter who the GOP nominates and only flip in the event of a total Dem electoral failure. Sure, some of these states are winnable for moderate Republicans, but no one like that exists in the GOP field.
All winnable by a conservative. Must i remind you that Reagan won all of thise states mut MN twice. So? Lyndon Johnson won every state but Arizona and the Deep South states. That doesn't mean that Barrack Obama, who could be considered similar to LBJ in politics, will, or even
could win all of the states Johnson won. Politics change.
Ignoring the fact that Mitt Romney is not moderate, I want you to read this article and tell me if you still think Ron Paul is a "Reagan conservative":
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0301.green.html