Akno21
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,066
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« on: November 24, 2007, 09:39:20 AM » |
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I don't think Edwards would have much success at all in his home state. He's not a career North Carolina politician - he's merely served one term in the revolving door Senate seat, and arguably didn't run for a second term because he wasn't going to win. I never got the sense the state has much affection for him across party lines. I also believe home state advantage doesn't come into play as much if one hasn't served the state recently and if one was a Senator in the first place. Al Gore stopped representing Tennessee in 1992 and was never its Governor - of course he wasn't going to overcome the political differences with the state that had developed by 2000.
He'll probably do five points better than Kerry did in 2004 due to the political environment and not being John Kerry.
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