afleitch
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Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,002
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« on: September 09, 2004, 08:44:38 AM » |
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Kerry is indeed a late-surger, and to go back to Iowa, Dean only screwed up his campaign (and how!) AFTER the results were announced. Kerry was expected to win in New Hampshire anyways, due to geography, after that It was anybodys game. To get back to the point, I just don't trust Gallup, they only seem to get it right where its not possible to get it wrong! People who say 'Gallup predicted Clinton would win in 1996 and Reagan in 1984 because on Labor Day, carry the one, divide by six...blah blah' or words of that affect, should look at themselves and look at the polls again. Bush leading Kerry by 14 points in Missouri!! Come on- at least Zogby gave a more realistic result, yet you all seem to love taking the rip out of them. Gallups name is mud in the UK because they couldn't predict a thing election after election. If the methodology is off, the poll is off, and you scrap it, plain and simple.
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