afleitch
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Atlas Star
Posts: 29,983
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« on: April 08, 2005, 08:53:27 AM » |
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''Last Nat Standing'' screams the Daily Record
Scottish Poll MORI for Scottish Television's Politics Now
Labour 43%
Conservatives 21%
Lib Dems 15%
SNP 13%
Theoreticclly this would leave only Alex Salmond in Westminster, with the Tories taking 3 seats away from them. Unlikely. The SNP are in decline, and the support for the Lib Dems looks too low. The Conservative's have been polling highly and probably will take 20% this time round. I remember in 2003, polls were putting them at 9% or something ludicrous like that. The Tories always poll far better on election day itself and will probably take Angus from the SNP and at a push, Perth and North Perthshire. Labour will hold up well in Scotland, especially if the SNP vote slumps. They look very shaky in East Dumbartonshire and in East Renfrewshire, the old Eastwood seat, they are not as strong as they seem, but Jim Murphy is a popular MP and should just about hold on. Dumfries and Galloway is a foregone conclusion really, a Tory gain.
As for my own seat, Rutherglen and Hamilton West, Labour will hold on easily, though Tommy McAvoy is not particularly well liked in the 'Hamilton West' part of the constituency
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