More D:
FL
WI
MI
VA
CO
NV
NH
More R:
OH
PA
NC
IA
Florida has not voted more D since Jimmy Carter.
[img width=760 height=570]http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/55918b77ecad04a3465a0a63/nbc-fires-donald-trump-after-he-calls-mexicans-rapists-and-drug-runners.jpg[/ig]
Trump has deep roots in Florida, and he performed well in the state during the primaries. There is no legitimate reason to think that he will fare worse than other Republicans in the state.
Hispanics.
We're talking Florida, not New Mexico, Arizona, or Nevada. In the latter states, Hispanics are Mexican-Americans who are (supposedly) heavily anti-Trump. In Florida, Hispanics are more diverse, and some have historically supported GOP candidates (e.g. Cubans). Factor in Trump's ties to the state and his performance in the primary, there arises no reason to think that his presence alone will change a 40 year trend.
Trump's primary performance with Cubans was dismal. He was blown out in Miami-Dade and his approval rating among Florida Hispanics was around 12% during the primary season. Romney won 39% of Florida Hispanics and I'd guess Trump gets around 25%.
As for ties to the state, sure he has ties to West Palm Beach, but that's not going to help anywhere outside the WPB/Ft. Lauderdale area. The rest of the state is too different and unconnected with South Florida for people to care what goes on over there. And any ties might be useless with the disaster that is
Trump's campaign in the state.