I'm expecting at least one election result that would have looked ridiculous before the campaign starts in the next 4 years, so I figured it might as well be Manitoba.
The last Manitoba Poll had the Liberals at 24% and the NDP at 25% ... polling and all, I suppose its not that far off. But that's not knowing all the internals that were mentioned above. Also if the MNDP played smart they would reach out ASAP to get federal money and tie themselves to the new Liberals, get some big wins before the election in April, that might help. BUT the ManLibs could play the spoiler causing the NDP to loss seats in south Winnipeg for sure and that would allow the PCs to win... God even with Pallister leading... now that's upsetting alone