Resurrecting this thread because things are on the move on this election and we have regular polls for large cities. One today for Clermont-Ferrand.
It was ordered by one of UMP's candidates, to test his prospects, so they're polling two UMP options, and and they only test a largely improbable four-tier runoff race. Still, results are interesting, and for once, encouraging for people like me :
FG 18-20 %
PS 27 %
EELV 4-5 %
Modem 14-15 %
UMP-UDI 22-24 %
FN 12 %
Second tour :
FG 21 %
PS-EELV 32 %
UMP-UDI-Modem 33 %
FN 14 %
To compare, Hollande polled 38 %, Joly 2,7 % and Mélenchon 14,5 % in the présidentielles first round in 2012. Thus, we've got something like a 2 point transfer towards the Greens, 4 or 5 towards the Left Front, and probably one or two towards Modem who had polled 9 %.
If that tendency can repeat itself in other places where the FG was already relatively high and can therefore be felt as a credible left-wing alternative to the government, we could have ourselves some interesting results.
That's really great to hear that the FG is doing well and that PS and EELV are basically holding steady for being the incumbent national government; also the FN doing poorly.
Can you shed light on why this is the case when for EP election polls has the FN at 24%
http://rt.com/news/france-far-right-top-poll-045/ ahead of all the others (UMP 22, PS 19%)
