Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (user search)
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  Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (search mode)
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Author Topic: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog  (Read 178317 times)
BigSkyBob
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« on: November 13, 2015, 01:26:02 PM »

In one of the more awkward endorsement ads I've seen, Duck Dynasty's Willie Robertson endorses Vitter.

That's a big endorsement for Vitter.
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BigSkyBob
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Posts: 2,531


« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2015, 07:09:19 PM »

If Vitter does win/rig (and yes, the latter is possible) the election, a bunch of atlas users will likely go into years of utter depression.

More pertinently the polling industry would be so discredited we would close down much of the polling boards and a lot of Atlas people would have more free time.

I don't think that necessarily follows. Edwards could simply see his support evaporate, and, the trends of the polls could indicate such movement.
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BigSkyBob
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Posts: 2,531


« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2015, 03:22:24 AM »

Not every person thinks like people on this site think - people vote for a lot of reasons beyond the person with the right policies.

Okay, Atlas Democrats, would you vote for a Democrat with Vitter's character issues over a Generic Republican?

The obvious analogy is Bill Clinton, so clearly the answer is no.

It's not really hypocritical for a liberal to have sex with whomever they please. 

But, that wasn't the real issue with Bill Clinton. In 1992 a series of women stepped forward to note that they had had sex with Bill Clinton. Bill Clinton had the option of not commenting on the allegations, but, instead of his own volition chose to go before the American people and kinda, sorta admit his indiscretions [while continuing to adamantly deny the particulars of every accusation against him] as a humbled and repentant man who had "caused pain in his marriage." He vowed to never do it again. At that point, he was making a promise to the American people as to what his character was, and would be while he was President.

Turns out he was lying through his teeth. It was as big and as shameless of a lie as, "Read my lips! No new taxes!"

Relating back to a previous post in this thread, Miles stated that David Vitter "made" his wife and his son cut campaign commercials. Back whenever Mrs. Clinton and Mrs. Vitter first became aware of their husband's infidelities they would have been within their rights to leave. For their own reasons each decided to stay with her husband. One of the possibilities is that Mr. Vitter has in fact regained his wife's trust over the intervening years. If the Edwards campaign, or Miles, wishes to call her a liar, or claim she is acting under duress, then it/he ought to do so soon. Otherwise, it/he ought to take her words at face value.
 
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BigSkyBob
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,531


« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2015, 01:21:59 PM »

With the new JMC poll, I'm switching my prediction to Vitter.

50.5 Vitter
49.5 Edwards

Hopefully I'm wrong and I'm over compensating for what happened in Kentucky, but it looks like Vitter is getting the necessary swing from white voters that he needs to win. Hopefully Edwards banked enough votes in the early period to overcome the swing.

Except that that RRH poll had Vitter winning the early votes.

Well, the JMC poll had Edwards winning the early vote 51% to 44.% If RRH's poll of early voters was correct, and, its assumption of a 26% Black total turnout is correct, Vitter is actually leading.
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