John
If I throw a ball up in the air its velocity and position at any time are quite predictable. If I throw the ball at an angle it will follow a parabolic path and its path is also quite predictable as long as you throw in a few corrections for air resistance. Artillery shells are aimed quite accurately this way. We know these things to be true because we have done countless experiments which show that they are. We have observed the results.
I never denied that, but gravity is still theory. We know the force exists, we just do not have a full explanation for it. For instance, we don't fully understand the mechanism that causes the force to exist in the first place - we only have theories. Sure, you can make calculations using the force of gravity, but I'd bet you could not prove to me with 100% certainty the mechanism by which that force is generated.
Both are possible, though it's not as simple as 'muck' that the idea where life originally came from(though this is really a seperate thing from the theory of evolution, which only proposes that species change over time through various processes) - that 'muck' was a pool of chemical reactions that supposedly created proteins essential to life. If you really think about it, a lifeform boils down to being a big sack of chemical reactions.
We get evidence for evolution through the fossil record, which is unfortunately imperfect. Combined with comparing similarities between fossils and modern animals, we also have dating methods(which have become more accurate over time) that show these animals are far older than species currently alive - if these species were ever alive at the same time as modern species, there should be fossils of the modern species that could be dated the same age as those others. Based on the evidence, we can conclude that species have changed over time - if they did not, if there is no evolution, since the evidence points to many species not existing on the planet at the same time where then do new species come from?