Someone reassure me (user search)
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Author Topic: Someone reassure me  (Read 4487 times)
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« on: September 16, 2016, 01:07:59 AM »
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And people wonder why I post on Atlas.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2016, 04:54:28 PM »
Well, Trump needs NC and VA to win. VA is C+3.5 on the edge of the MOE making it about 85 percent for Clinton.

NC is about 60 percent Clinton so that puts Trumps odds at about 6 percent, or 94 percent chance of a Clinton victory.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2016, 05:46:21 PM »
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You're forgetting that Hillary has many paths to victory, and the aggregate percentages in Florida, etc.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2016, 05:48:22 PM »
O12 numbers in VA, are about where Hillary's polling in VA is now. I'm not sure why democrats are worried about an election where Hillary is polling at O 12 levels.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2016, 06:32:40 PM »
Well, I suppose he could win NH.
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