Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos (user search)
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  Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos (search mode)
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Author Topic: Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos  (Read 1990 times)
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,136
United States


« on: April 22, 2016, 10:52:24 AM »
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Totally buy it. I have Hispanic Texas friends who are conservative prolifers. They are, to a man (or woman), not voting Trump.

He could lose Texas if this keeps up and he manages to keep 30 percent of the Republican base away.

2016 is going to be a landslide against Trump if he's the nominee.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2016, 11:25:36 AM »
64 percent turnout by Hispanics and 89 percent democrat is enough for Trump to lose Texas, without adjusting other sliders. State flips are NC, AZ and TX.

Map I get with adjustments has:

AK, ID, MT, ND, SD, WY, UT, NE, KY, WV, KS, AR, TN and OK.

39 to 59 Republican to Democrat. Swing states are MT, AK and AL.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2016, 11:32:17 AM »
Nope. That's the map I get, sadly. Trump's now put AZ and TX into play with his sh**tty numbers.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2016, 12:18:34 PM »
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Both are concerning. 11 percent puts AZ and TX into play. Needless to say, Trupm can't win without either.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2016, 02:18:02 PM »
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I just said that.

Trump needs about 15 percent to secure Texas and Arizona. 11 percent puts TX in jeopardy, if Latino turnout is up, or white turnout continues to drop.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2016, 02:33:28 PM »
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Yep, it's a problem now. And lots of these folks are prolife.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2016, 02:40:53 PM »
the Map I posted earlier is now a serious possibility for Trump. With MT a swing state and losing all the south, save Alabama.

It would be hilarious if Trump had the 'anti-southern' strategy.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2016, 02:50:55 PM »
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WV is about as solid as it gets on the R side. Moreso than Utah.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2016, 03:00:22 PM »
Then let's keep fighting for Cruz and save the damn party! Cheesy
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,136
United States


« Reply #9 on: April 22, 2016, 08:04:30 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2016, 08:21:11 PM by IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi »
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it's a ridiculous map. But, yeah with 10 percent depressed turnout and 11 percent Hispanic... it could happen.

Also, MO to Hillary.
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