Will TRUMP get the required 1,237 delegates before the convention?

[Wisconsin+17]

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Indiana is crucial. Even if he sweeps every NE state, and gets 160/172 in California, he falls short.

That's the trouble for Trump. He's almost ran himself out of blue states.

[Wisconsin+17]

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And even then he just gets to 1237.

Trump's gonna fall short.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Has there been a poll in WV?

[Wisconsin+17]

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I don't see a path to a Trump win without either Indiana or West Virginia. This is his last shot coming up at blue states.

[Wisconsin+17]

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He's not winning Montana.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Let's say, 1 in Minnesota, 1 in Oklahoma, 1 in Louisiana, 2 in US Virgin Islands, 1 in Guam, 4 in American Samoa, 2 in North Dakota. 5 in PA, 2 in NH.

That's what, 15 delegates? 

[Wisconsin+17]

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If he can't hold onto his own delegates, I can't see him doing well with PA's unbound delegates.

[Wisconsin+17]

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If they aren't supportive of Trump in the first place, I can't see them being all bent out of shape about finding a loophole to avoid supporting Trump in the end. There's nothing that requires them to be bound to the winner of their districts, and they won't be bound until the convention. That lets them wait and see how Trump actually does before making a decision.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Nope. He needed all of them and even that wouldn't be enough. -7 might not seem like much, but it's a swing of 14.

New York's done and dusted.